
The decimation of scientific research agencies, the Cybersecurity Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA), the attempted firing of thousands of federal government employees across nearly every agency and department are one thing. The removal of impartial senior military and intelligence commanders who cannot be relied upon to be unquestionably loyal to the new commander-in-chief, is another thing entirely. Loyalty is everything to Donald Trump, and like any mafia boss, when absolute loyalty is not demonstrated it is to be punished publicly. “Kill the chicken to scare the monkey” as the Chinese idiom states.
Just look at Chris Krebbs, Director of the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency in the Department of Homeland Security, who led CISA through the 2020 election and refused to support the MAGA lie that the election had been stolen when their cult leader lost. He was not only fired in the last days of Trump’s first presidency, but he and his next employer SentinelOne were very recently, openly and publicly persecuted - a full 4 years later by Trump in his second term. For Trump this was personal payback and in his narcissistic mind, totally justified for the lack of kowtowing to the wannbe king.
Look at John Bolton, former US Ambassador to the United Nations under George W Bush, and US National Security Advisor in Trump's first term. Bolton has since become an outspoken critic of Trump’s mental decline and his errant foreign policy and has been a frequent guest on both right and left wing TV shows. His family house raided in the middle of the night by the FBI, an agency now controlled by Trump sycophant Kash Petal. The raid was plainly designed to send a message to anyone else who may dare to question the ‘Dear Leader’ in the White House. This is not just domestic politics and a retribution presidency, it’s a seismic shift in the America that everyone trusts, and the world is watching.
The fact is that the unshakable confidence in America that has persisted since World War II has been broken, and that break in confidence extends to American industry and its thriving technology sector. But for how much longer? This to anyone who works in the technology and cybersecurity sector should be very concerning.
So let me explain my concerns.
I have just spent the last ten days visiting security and technology leaders in Asia. I have worked internationally for nearly two decades with big American technology brands including Cisco, CSC, and now for Cylera. I visit Asia several times a year to present at various cybersecurity conferences, to visit customers, or just for a beach vacation in the depths of winter back home. This time however was different. Those that travel internationally will recognize that the reception of Americans outside of the country can be very different to the way other nationalities are welcomed. Fly to Europe or further afield and the comments about American politics and leaders can be quite surprising and sometimes openly hostile. Often this hostility is accompanied by derisory comments about the intelligence of the American electorate and the arrogance of its elected representatives. Foreigners will also quite vociferously question American foreign policy including the Gulf Wars, Afghanistan, Kosovo, and Bosnia, which all stir up a hot discussion even amongst American allies. But that’s not all I discovered during this visit.I was out for drinks one evening with a number of CIOs and CISOs and the question arose can American technology be trusted? A CIO was considering whether to simply replace and upgrade his American wireless and cellular repeater technology or to consider a replacement strategy based upon cheaper Chinese technology. Putting aside historical issues of stolen American router source code and other “illegally acquired” technology IP, the Chinese tech today is highly innovative, feature rich, and often half the price he argued. And he was right. It’s cheaper and often better but at what price when it comes to security?
The table erupted as other security and technology leaders expressed their concerns about well-publicized and prolific state-sponsored hacking and especially about the various Chinese Typhoon attacks against telco systems. This includes concerns about backdoors and other vulnerabilities in Chinese manufactured technology systems and the fact that China cannot be trusted especially with anything that touches critical infrastructure of any kind. This coming from a mixed group of Asian and European leaders all living and working in Asia today, and all responsible for protecting their employers from an increasing tsunami of cyberattacks.
Not to be trusted
China certainly has a long history of spying on its own people and spends nearly twice as much on internal security as it does on external security. It has the world’s most intensive surveillance network of CCTV cameras in every city, town, and village street. It has pioneered the use of AI facial recognition software to identify and track each of its nearly 1.4 billion residents. The Ministry of State Security (MSS) has listening posts across cities and in public spaces, intercepts conversations, phone calls, and decrypts secure IP-based communications while restricting access to the Internet via the legendary Great Chinese Firewall that blocks news coming into China and prevents Chinese citizens from communicating outside. The PRC has become the Big Brother state envisioned in George Orwell's novel "1984", which of course is banned in China. Only North Korea could aspire to greater levels of surveillance. I say 'aspire', because in the DPRK, the supply of electricity is intermittent at best outside of Pyongyang and surveillance technology requires power.The ruling 100.27 million strong Chinese Communist Party, (CCP), has for many years been accused of suffering from a well founded paranoia that China’s 1.4 billion citizens will rise up in a counter-revolution against the corruption of the country’s communist ruling elite. Perhaps that’s a real risk as rising living standards can no longer be assured to buy-off the population, but this concern builds upon fears from the comparatively minor 1989 Tiananmen Square student protests requesting more freedoms from the party, a protest that saw party hardliners send in the tanks against their own citizens for daring to challenge the party. A popular uprising against the party elite is undoubtedly one of Xi’s greatest concerns today. Rising disparities of income, declining job opportunities especially among China's millions of annual graduates, and a growing recognition that the 'social contract' that has allowed the CCP to remain in power has expired.
While some of the security failings of Chinese tech can simply be attributed to sloppy coding and poor quality-assurance, a problem that China has faced for decades across every industry, the fact is that few trust the technology or the ability of those running those companies to manufacture quality product free from interference by Chinese state or military agencies. Xi Jin Ping has made it law across China for every company and citizen to work for the communist state’s interests. And few would risk all, to refuse a “request” by the Ministry of State Security to work on their behalf at any given time. That’s likely how China was able to insert hidden substrates into top-end Taiwanese SuperMicro motherboards being fabricated in Chinese factories. Motherboards that were later found to be calling home to China from the US Congress, from Google and Apple data centers, and other sensitive locations.
But America spies on other countries too and has infiltrated sensitive networks all over the world. WekiLeaks published documents appearing to reveal NSA phone intercepts on French Presidents Jacques Chirac, Nicolas Sarkozy, and François Hollande from 2006 to 2012. The NSA also reportedly hacked the Iraqi military command and control network long before the second Gulf War and had been listening in on Iraqi communications for years. When the action started, it was able to effectively shut down Iraqi military and other communications making the alliance military’s job that much easier. Iran’s uranium enrichment plant at Natanz was partially destroyed by the Stuxnet virus in a cyber-physical attack thought to have been developed by the NSA and delivered by Mossad. A virus that enabled the US and Israel to slow down Iraq’s quest to develop nuclear weapons, weapons that would likely be used against Iran’s enemies including Israel and perhaps even the USA.
Can the US be trusted by its allies and non-aligned countries?
The Trump Administration has threatened the future of NATO, Five Eyes, and the overall western alliance. It has imposed debilitating tariffs against its principle trading partners which is isolating the United States and threatening globalization. US attempts to annex Greenland and Panama and absorb Canada against its will as the fifty-first state, have all shattered whatever trust that the US held with the rest of the world. The recent discovery of US agents trying to stir up a Greenland insurgency against rule from Copenhagen have hugely angered European allies. As has America’s apparent switching of sides against NATO and the EU to align with Putinist Russia over a Ukrainian land succession for a (temporary) succession of hostilities. It has also sent a very strong and alarming message to the rest of the world that America can no longer be relied upon even for the alliances it leads.Does that political distrust extend to American technology?
The short answer is yes. American technology companies – Google, Apple, Microsoft, Oracle, Amazon, and others are all tarred by the same brush along with thousands of other US-based highly innovative tech companies. Nor have they done a good job of distancing themselves from the chaos of the White House. Quite the contrary in fact, as the leaders of many of these companies have openly become Trump sycophants. The recent Oligarch’s Dinner at the White House where each tech billionaire leader took turns to sickeningly pay homage on camera to the ‘Dear Leader’ is proof enough. This removed any plausible distancing between American Big Tech and Trumpism. But paying homage to Trump can have a huge cost, as Elon Musk discovered when Tesla sales plummeted world wide, damage that appears to be permanent.When trust in America vanishes, so does trust in its technology companies and its technology products and services. For cybersecurity companies, that eradication of trust could be devastating just as Kaspersky found itself in near ruin thanks to its Russian ties.
The big question is what can the American technology sector do to distance itself from the chaos going on in Washington DC and can its reputation be saved before it’s too late, or does the whole sector go the way that Tesla went?